Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 6.972340 7.721502 8.556070 9.562385 10.753317 12.131149 1.386569e+01
2024-10-06 5.981966 7.016091 8.274406 9.951452 12.181915 15.131255 1.948486e+01
2024-10-13 5.124587 6.207853 7.594787 9.558920 12.374423 16.454916 2.323894e+01
2024-10-20 4.523109 5.605535 7.042863 9.171869 12.404775 17.450451 2.674592e+01
2024-10-27 4.112866 5.193421 6.672432 8.948697 12.585036 18.659259 3.102564e+01
2024-11-03 3.821823 4.906480 6.431891 8.863182 12.936887 20.208874 3.663138e+01
2024-11-10 3.743236 4.903683 6.591194 9.402500 14.415300 24.212406 4.998132e+01
2024-11-17 3.591171 4.776872 6.545753 9.596394 15.316428 27.388422 6.393936e+01
2024-11-24 3.373362 4.532944 6.292758 9.400257 15.435295 28.902502 7.441236e+01
2024-12-01 3.209422 4.357119 6.129517 9.336385 15.799191 31.123441 8.998482e+01
2024-12-08 3.031957 4.147729 5.893443 9.110870 15.782920 32.386994 1.035275e+02
2024-12-15 2.897870 3.996873 5.740695 9.019960 16.039238 34.499213 1.249194e+02
2024-12-22 2.798845 3.905214 5.696196 9.163433 16.940633 39.204721 1.762012e+02
2024-12-29 2.736464 3.869771 5.747813 9.511747 18.453905 47.032431 2.963631e+02
2025-01-05 2.570347 3.653492 5.464593 9.143592 18.086138 48.005040 3.569722e+02
2025-01-12 2.420282 3.455053 5.198453 8.780809 17.661867 48.602112 4.249875e+02
2025-01-19 2.305398 3.308622 5.014850 8.571437 17.611274 50.803761 5.632210e+02
2025-01-26 2.217942 3.203219 4.897752 8.491169 17.906225 54.841242 8.672310e+02
2025-02-02 2.213436 3.237499 5.039083 8.997016 20.054696 70.385285 3.739089e+03
2025-02-09 2.167643 3.197564 5.037370 9.178659 21.287147 83.024306 3.715569e+04
2025-02-16 2.082786 3.084851 4.888047 8.994914 21.275271 87.680405 1.848160e+07
2025-02-23 2.017606 3.003636 4.794519 8.935052 21.681590 96.293787 NaN
2025-03-02 1.940288 2.897374 4.645385 8.723596 21.503731 100.172761 NaN